GAIA maps observed AI adoption, theoretical exposure, and real task performance across 178 countries and 923 occupations.
Published E1+E2 β scores — the share of tasks where AI could cut completion time by 50%+.
Mean theoretical exposure (E1+E2) — Eloundou et al. 2024.
Source: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock (2024), Science 384(6702). Displayed values are the original published β scores.
Nearly half of all Claude.ai requests in February 2026 were work-related. Personal use follows at 42%, and educational use accounts for 12% — signaling that AI has already crossed from experimentation into daily professional workflows.
Work is now the single largest way people use Claude.ai — a sign AI has moved past experimentation into everyday professional work, not just personal or school use.
Share of tasks where AI could reduce completion time by 50%+, as measured by Eloundou et al. (Science, 2024).
Source: Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock (2024), Science 384(6702). Displayed values are the original published β scores.
Claude.ai logs show six distinct collaboration modes. Directive use — giving direct instructions to complete tasks — dominates, followed by task iteration and learning.
Working papers on measuring AI exposure, testing whether theoretical exposure predicts real capability, and tracing AI's effects through credit markets and employment.
Observed usage, theoretical exposure, and pre-GPT baselines across 923 occupations and 138 countries.
Read paper → Preliminary · May 2026Does theoretical AI exposure predict actual AI capability? Evidence from the United States — and a surprising negative result.
Read paper → Forthcoming · 2026How occupational AI exposure transmits through bank credit into employment and wages, with Banco Central do Brasil.
Read paper →Studies that use the GAIA index to ask new questions about AI, work, and the economy.
Does theoretical AI exposure predict real AI capability? Tested against Anthropic's observed task-success, it doesn't — the relationship is negative.
How occupational AI exposure transmits through bank credit into employment and wages — co-authored with Banco Central do Brasil.